18-19
GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Feb 18, 2019
<p>Over the weekend, light snowfall and minimal wind gave buried weak layers time to recover from the stress of last week’s 3-4’ of heavy snow (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/weather/wx-avalanche-log">weather log</a></strong></u>). In the mountains near West Yellowstone and the southern Madison and Gallatin ranges it is possible to trigger avalanches that break on weak, sugary snow at the base of the snowpack (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/big-snowmobile-triggered-avalanch…;). These deep avalanches are becoming difficult to trigger, but the consequences are deadly. On Saturday, Eric rode in Taylor Fork and saw a cornice triggered avalanche that broke at the base of the snowpack and deposited debris 10’ deep (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/large-natural-avalanche-taylor-fo…;, <u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kIPUqVPE0g8&list=PLXu5151nmAvRNl9ku…;). Yesterday skiers near Bacon Rind saw recent large natural avalanches, similar to what is possible to trigger today (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/20120">details</a></strong>). Wind loaded slopes are particularly dangerous. Cornices have grown large and could fall and trigger a big avalanche (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/large-cornices-sunlight-basin">ph…;). Today, avoid steep wind loaded slopes and be extra cautious of all steep slopes. Large avalanches are possible to trigger and avalanche danger is <strong>MODERATE</strong>.</p>
<p>In the mountains near Bozeman, Big Sky and Cooke City weak layers in the lower half of the snowpack are not as widespread, but exist on some slopes. Yesterday two avalanches were triggered by snowmobilers on Buck Ridge near Big Sky (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/20123">details</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/20131">details</a></strong>), and one was triggered on Crown Butte near Cooke City (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/20128">details</a></strong>). All three were on wind loaded slopes and broke 3-4’ deep, likely on persistent weak layers. On Friday near Cooke City I saw an avalanche that was 4-8’ deep and triggered by a cornice fall on a heavily wind loaded slope (<u><strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oOjaEWyCVdI&index=2&list=PLXu51…;, <u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/20085">details</a></strong></u>). Some slopes are strong while others are weak. This is why we carefully assess each slope, carry rescue gear and only expose one person at a time. In case we get surprised.</p>
<p>Doug and Ian rode the entire area north of Cooke City yesterday and noted only one avalanche which broke in the new snow (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/20115">details</a></strong>, <strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?index=2&list=PLXu5151nmAvRNl9kuY3DxfW…;). Over the weekend similar slides were reported in Hyalite (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/20125">details</a></strong>), Beehive (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/natural-avalanches-beehive">photo…;), the Bridger Range (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/skier-triggered-avalanches-throne…;, <u><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/skier-triggered-avalanches-throne…;) and Cooke City (<u><strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/images/19/natural-avalanche-near-cooke-city…;). Today these soft slabs of recent snow are possible to trigger on previously wind loaded slopes. Avoid steeper terrain if you see cracking in the snow surface, and dig 3-4’ to check for unstable weak layers. Avalanches of recently drifted snow are possible and can break deeper on specific slopes where buried weak layers exist. Avalanche danger is <strong>MODERATE</strong> on wind loaded slopes and <strong>LOW</strong> on non-wind loaded slopes.</p>
<p>If you get out and have any avalanche or snowpack observations to share, contact us via our <u><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation">website</a></u>, email (<u><a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a></u>), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>
Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events
Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar.
BOZEMAN
February 22 and 23, Women’s Companion Rescue Clinic, 6-8 p.m. Friday at REI, 10-4 Saturday in the field. More Info and Register.
Natural activity in Beehive
On Saturday (2/16) skiers in Beehive observed "Lots of natural avalanches from Friday nights snow. Notice the large cornice sections at the base of the slope. We were impressed with the size of the cornices on the ridge. We noted no collapsing or cracking on the skin up or ski down."
On Saturday (2/16) skiers in Beehive observed "Lots of natural avalanches from Friday nights snow. Notice the large cornice sections at the base of the slope. We were impressed with the size of the cornices on the ridge. We noted no collapsing or cracking on the skin up or ski down." Photo: A. Crawford
Snowmobile-triggered avalanche on First Yellowmule
This avalanche failed on the ground up on Buck Ridge near the First Yellowmule. It was human-triggered, but nobody was caught or buried. Photo: N. James
Avalanche on Crown Butte
This avalanche on Crown Butte failed after multiple sleds had crossed the slope. From the email: "This one broke about 10 minutes after we’d been sledding below and across it. You can see our tracks going into it. Spooked us. The crown up top looked pretty deep, maybe 3 or 4 ft". Photo: S. Strenge
This avalanche on Crown Butte failed after multiple sleds had crossed the slope. From the email: "This one broke about 10 minutes after we’d been sledding below and across it. You can see our tracks going into it. Spooked us. The crown up top looked pretty deep, maybe 3 or 4 ft". Photo: S. Strenge
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Mon Feb 18, 2019
This avalanche on Crown Butte failed after multiple sleds had crossed the slope. From the email: "This one broke about 10 minutes after we’d been sledding below and across it. You can see our tracks going into it. Spooked us. The crown up top looked pretty deep, maybe 3 or 4 ft". Photo: S. Strenge
Forecast link: GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Tue Feb 19, 2019GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Fri Feb 22, 2019
Skier-triggered soft slabs in Hyalite
Skiers reported triggering soft wind slabs in Hyalite on NE aspect at 9000'. Photo: T. Chingas