18-19

GNFAC Avalanche Forecast for Thu Feb 28, 2019

Snowpack and Avalanche Discussion

<p>The Avalanche Warning continues in the southern ranges. Snowfall has not let up and in the last 24 hours another 8-10” fell totaling another inch of <a href="https://www.nrcs.usda.gov/wps/portal/nrcs/detail/or/snow/?cid=nrcs142p2… water equivalent</a> (SWE). Since the&nbsp; start of the storm early Sunday morning close to 6.5” of SWE has fallen around West Yellowstone, 4.5” in Taylor Fork and 5” outside Cooke City. Steady snowfall is adding more weight every day and slopes are avalanching. The likelihood of very large avalanches breaking near the ground is increasing. Do not trust any slope steeper than 30 degrees (avalanche terrain). Do not travel underneath avalanche terrain. Do not venture into the backcountry if you have poor visibility or do not know the terrain intimately. Skiers and riders die when they mistakenly think they are not exposed to avalanche terrain. Eric and I skied into Bacon Rind on Tuesday and found unstable conditions: a large whumph and poor stability test scores (<strong><a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vXUCG2z6fYI&amp;list=PLXu5151nmAvRNl9ku…;). Human triggered avalanches are very likely today and the danger is rated HIGH on all slopes.</p>

<p>Snowfall and heavy wind-loading from south and east winds has created dangerous avalanche conditions in the northern mountains. A skier died on the west side of the Bridger Range on Tuesday when he triggered a hard slab avalanche on a wind-loaded slope. It was the second time this season the slope avalanched. Yesterday, skiers in the northern Bridger Range found many crowns and debris piles (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/20217">details</a></strong&gt;), and skiers intentionally avalanched a small wind-drifted slope in the northern Madison Range with a ski cut (<strong><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/20215">photos and details</a></strong>).</p>

<p>The water weight in the north adds up to 1.7-2.9” of SWE with more coming today. Although wind-loaded slopes are the likeliest areas to trigger a slide, slopes without wind drifts are getting loaded to a dangerous level as well. For this reason the avalanche danger is rated CONSIDERABLE on all slopes.</p>

<p>If you get out and have any avalanche or snowpack observations to share, contact us via our <u><a href="https://www.mtavalanche.com/node/add/snow_observation">website</a></u&gt;, email (<u><a href="mailto:mtavalanche@gmail.com">mtavalanche@gmail.com</a></u&gt;), phone (406-587-6984), or Instagram (#gnfacobs).</p>

Upcoming Avalanche Education and Events

Our education calendar is full of awareness lectures and field courses. Check it out: Events and Education Calendar.

BOZEMAN

March 1, 2 and 3, Bozeman Split Fest, More info at www.bozemansplitfest.com.

March 6, 1-hr Avalanche Awareness, 6-7 p.m. at REI Bozeman.

ENNIS

Skier triggered slide north of Big Sky

Northern Madison
Code
SS-ASc-R1-D1-I
Elevation
7500
Aspect Range
ESE
Notes

From an email:

"...ski cut this little 100' convex roll slope that is 35 degrees for its majority.  It slid as expected. ESE facing @ 7500' prominent wind loading from SW.  Did not step down through the harder wind crusts.  1-2' deep and 50' wide, ran 100'.  Storm snow was getting very upside-down with moderate SW heavily loading E aspects."

Number of slides
1
Number caught
0
Number buried
0
Avalanche Type
Soft slab avalanche
Trigger
Skier
Trigger Modifier
c-A controlled or intentional release by the indicated trigger
R size
1
D size
1
Bed Surface
I - Interface between new and old snow
Problem Type
Wind-Drifted Snow
Slab Thickness
24.0 inches
Vertical Fall
100ft
Slab Width
50.00ft
Slab Thickness units
inches
Single / Multiple / Red Flag
Single Avalanche
Advisory Year

Skiers intentionally triggered this wind-loaded slope in the northern Madison Range. It broke 50' wide and 100' vertical. Photo: Anon

Northern Madison, 2019-02-28